The Miami Dolphins will take on the Houston Texans at 1 p.m. ET next Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium. Miami is 1-7 overall and 0-3 at home, while Houston is 1-7 overall and 0-4 on the road. Miami lost to Buffalo last week, 26-11. Meanwhile, the Texans fell 38-22 to the Los Angeles Rams.
The Texans have won eight of their last nine matchups with the Dolphins. Miami is favored by 5.5 points in the latest Dolphins vs. Texans odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 46.5. Before entering any Texans vs. Dolphins picks, you’ll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,800 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 9 of the 2021 season on an incredible 128-86 run on top-rated NFL picks that date back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Dolphins vs. Texans spread: Dolphins -5.5Dolphins vs. Texans over-under: 46.5 points
Featured Game | Miami Dolphins vs. Houston Texans
What you need to know about the Dolphins
Miami has not won since its season opener. The Dolphins have lost seven straight games twice in three seasons. Miami comes into Week 9 with the most yards allowed per game in the NFL, giving up 406.9 on average. The Dolphins are 30th in the NFL in rushing, averaging 78.6 yards per game.
Tua Tagovailoa has a 70-plus completion percentage and two-plus TD passes in two of his past three games. Jaylen Waddle leads all rookies with 48 receptions, tied for the second-most ever by a wide receiver in his first eight career games. DeVante Parker (shoulder/hamstring) was placed on injured reserve this week.
What you need to know about the Texans
The Texans have also not won since Week 1. Houston was down 38-0 at the end of the third quarter in the Week 8 loss to the Rams. Davis Mills was sacked five times and hit nine times. Tyrod Taylor, who has not played since Week 2 because of a hamstring injury, is expected to return in Week 9.
Houston is worst in the league in touchdowns allowed, with 29 on the season. The Texans are 31st in the league in rushing at 76.1 yards per game. Christian Kirksey (thumb) is out for Sunday’s game.
How to make Dolphins vs. Texans picks
The model is leaning under on the total, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Dolphins vs. Texans? And which side of the spread hits more than 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its NFL picks.