Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State odds: 2021 Egg Bowl picks, college football predictions from model on 39-25 run


The ninth-ranked Ole Miss Rebels have reached double digits in victories seven times in their history, most recently accomplishing the feat by posting a 10-3 record in 2015. However, they have failed to hit the mark in the regular season alone, needing a win in a bowl game to do so all seven times. Ole Miss (9-2, 5-2) attempts to make school history on Thanksgiving Day as it visits the Mississippi State Bulldogs (7-4, 4-3) in the 2021 Egg Bowl, which is the regular-season finale for both SEC teams.

Kickoff at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, Miss. is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. The Bulldogs are 2.5-point favorites in the latest Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 64. Before making any Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 13 of the 2021 season on a 39-25 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has locked in on Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State and just revealed its picks and Egg Bowl 2021 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are the CFB odds and betting lines for Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss:  

Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss spread: Mississippi State -2.5Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss over-under: 64 pointsMississippi State vs. Ole Miss money line: Bulldogs -135, Rebels +115MSU: The Bulldogs are 5-0 against the spread in their last five gamesUM: The Rebels are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings with the Bulldogs

Featured Game | Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Ole Miss Rebels

Why Mississippi State can cover

Will Rogers is having a tremendous season for the Bulldogs, as he has shattered the school record and ranks second in the country with 4,113 passing yards. The sophomore quarterback’s 391-yard effort in Saturday’s 55-10 triumph over Tennessee State moved him past Dak Prescott (3,793 in 2015) for most passing yards in a season in Mississippi State history. It was the 10th 300-yard performance in 11 outings this year for Rogers as he nearly reached 400 for the fifth time.

The only time he failed to record 300 yards in 2021 was in the second of the campaign, a 24-10 victory over North Carolina State in which he finished with 294. Rogers leads the nation with a 76 percent completion rate and is sixth with 34 touchdown passes after throwing five against the Tigers. He has made at least four TD tosses in each of his last three games, amassing 15 in that span.

Why Ole Miss can cover

The Rebels are 63-46-6 all-time against their in-state rivals and 57-29-5 since the Egg Bowl originated in 1927. They enter this matchup with a three-game winning streak and victories in six of their last seven contests after defeating Vanderbilt 31-17 on Saturday. Ole Miss has the fifth-best offense in the nation (517.5 yards) and is seventh in rushing (231.1) while its passing attack ranks 20th (286.4).

The leader of the aerial attack is Matt Corral, who has thrown for 3,100 yards with 19 touchdowns and only three interceptions. The junior, who is expected to enter the 2022 NFL Draft, has eclipsed the 300-yard mark in two of his last three outings as he passed for 326 and two scores against the Commodores. Corral also has been dangerous with his legs as he is second on the team with 10 rushing TDs and third with 552 yards on the ground.

How to make Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss picks

The model is going under on the total, projecting 51 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits over 60 percent of the time. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine

So who wins Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State? And which side of the spread hits over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread to back, all from the advanced model on a 39-25 run on its top-rated college football side picks, and find out.

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